7 Sept · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1475
FormWWWWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Schaniel
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1211
FormLLWLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)