7 Sept · 02:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1342
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1461
FormLLWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H23-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-17)