7 Sept · 03:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1476
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Marud
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1435
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)