7 Sept · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1546
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1478
FormWWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 64% (88)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)