7 Sept · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1379
FormWLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1539
FormWLLWL
33%
67%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H53-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-28)