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07 Sep · 03:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1453
0-3Final setsMarud won
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1485
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 50%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 0-3 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Grzegorz Marud — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Baron −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 46% → final 5%
Grzegorz Marud ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts55 points · 3 games