7 Sept · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1431
FormWLLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Machelski
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1187
FormLLLLL
75%
25%
⚡ Cover lean · Machelski🌟Machelski covers set handicap as favourite 74% (19)
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~73 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+244
H2H21-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+244)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-2)