7 Sept · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1612
FormLWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Zmijewski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1433
FormWWLLW
69%
31%
🔥 Underdog lean · Machelski
Fair odds · Zmijewski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)