7 Sept · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1327
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1334
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 43% · 2.30· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.