7 Sept · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Sobel
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1337
FormLWLLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+220
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)