7 Sept · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1702
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sklensky
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1587
FormLLLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H71-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-13)