7 Sept · 10:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1185
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stechly
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1182
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Barton rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (43)
Fair odds · Stechly
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H3-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.