7 Sept · 10:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1509
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Brud
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1351
FormLWLWW
67%
33%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)