7 Sept · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1468
FormLWLWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Wolny
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1182
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
🌟Barton rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (43)
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~71 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+286
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+286)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)