7 Sept · 13:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1431
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1578
FormWWLWL
34%
66%
🌟Fomin stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)