7 Sept · 13:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1758
FormWLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Strowski
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1583
FormLWLLL
68%
32%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 71% (125)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H25-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-19)