7 Sept · 14:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1383
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fomin
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1431
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H32-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-27)