7 Sept · 14:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1698
FormLLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sklensky
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1583
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H72-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-13)