7 Sept · 14:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1280
FormLLWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Brud
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1512
FormLWWWW
26%
74%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+232
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+232)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)