7 Sept · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1580
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1583
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szostok🌟Skotniczny covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H13-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.