7 Sept · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1670
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1754
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glazowski
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+84
H2H27-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)