7 Sept · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1603
FormLLWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Wichowski
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1441
FormLLWWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H88-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (88-22)