7 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1606
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wichowski
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1583
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 70% (47)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.