7 Sept · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1431
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1571
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
🌟Fomin stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H22-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-18)