7 Sept · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1494
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1582
FormWWLWL
40%
60%
🌟Marud goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)