7 Sept · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1393
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Trela
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1323
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Trela
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)