7 Sept · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1738
FormWLWWW
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Warzecha
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1266
FormLLWLW
89%
11%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~68 pts
3-0
44%
3-1
31%
3-2
14%
2-3
5%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+472
H2H34-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+472)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-9)