7 Sept · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1375
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Iwasyszyn
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1310
FormWLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)