7 Sept · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1316
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1407
FormWLLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)