7 Sept · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1310
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Trela
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1393
FormWWLWL
41%
59%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Trela
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)