7 Sept · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1375
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1407
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H27-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.