7 Sept · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1388
FormWLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1603
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)