8 Sept · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PO
🇵🇱Piotr Ostachowski
ELO 1457
FormLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ostachowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1408
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Ostachowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 37% · 2.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)