11 Sept · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1481
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sulkowski
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1454
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (19)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H19-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.