11 Sept · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1439
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamus
RK
🇵🇱Rafal Komandzik
ELO 1395
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 68% (31)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)