11 Sept · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1777
FormWWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Strowski
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1540
FormWLLWW
74%
26%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 70% (128)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+237
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)