11 Sept · 22:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1423
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wozniczka
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1533
FormLLWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Wozniczka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H19-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-8)