11 Sept · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1382
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Wiza
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1238
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+144
H2H96-67
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (96-67)