11 Sept · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1672
FormWLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Oracz
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1472
FormWLLWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H23-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-7)