11 Sept · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Krupa
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
🌟Sokolowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (115)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)