11 Sept · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1596
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jedrzejowski
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1533
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Jedrzejowski stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)