11 Sept · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1286
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1350
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)