13 Sept · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1554
FormWLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Witczak
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1405
FormWLWLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)