13 Sept · 10:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1374
FormLLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sinicki
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1278
FormLWWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)