13 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1511
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zemla
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1586
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)