13 Sept · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1374
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sinicki
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1315
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)