13 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1511
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pytlas
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1445
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 95% (20)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H24-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-14)