13 Sept · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1445
FormWLWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Adamus
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1249
FormLLWLL
70%
30%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 68% (31)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)