13 Sept · 06:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1586
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zemla
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1557
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.