13 Sept · 06:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1518
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szymik
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1429
FormWLLWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H117-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (117-38)